#1 2010: The Emerging Enthusiasm Gap
Posted: Tue Dec 01, 2009 10:30 am
http://digbysblog.blogspot.com/2009/11/ ... m-new.html
Breaking down by age, the results are pretty grim as well:
18-29: 41/49
60+: 69/28
I guess the question is how democrats go about re-cultivating the voters that turned out for Obama and convincing them to turn out for congressional candidates in an off-year election. Granted, the president's party does tend to lose seats in such elections but these numbers suggest a rather painful electoral spanking may be coming.
Actual poll can be found here.From the new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll:
We have added a new feature on our weekly national poll -- a gauge of voter intensity. The question offered to respondents is a simple question about their intentions for 2010:
QUESTION: In the 2010 Congressional elections will you definitely vote, probably vote, not likely vote, or definitely will not vote?
Markos writes:
The results were, to put it mildly, shocking:
Voter Intensity: Definitely + Probably Voting/Not Likely + Not Voting
Republican Voters: 81/14
Independent Voters: 65/23
Democratic Voters: 56/40
Two in five Democratic voters either consider themselves unlikely to vote at this point in time, or have already made the firm decision to remove themselves from the 2010 electorate pool. Indeed, Democrats were three times more likely to say that they will "definitely not vote" in 2010 than are Republicans.
Breaking down by age, the results are pretty grim as well:
18-29: 41/49
60+: 69/28
I guess the question is how democrats go about re-cultivating the voters that turned out for Obama and convincing them to turn out for congressional candidates in an off-year election. Granted, the president's party does tend to lose seats in such elections but these numbers suggest a rather painful electoral spanking may be coming.