Pennsylvania

[frigidmagi]

At 99% reporting in.

Candidate: Popular Vote Percent
Clinton 1,258,245 55%
Obama 1,042,297 45%

CNN lists the delegates as split 52 to 46, that doesn't add up the full 158 so I think I'm missing something.

Before this primary Obama had 1648 delegates total Clinton had 1509.

Adding those delegates in gives Clinton 1561 to Obama's 1696.

First let say to Derek Thunder, you called it, good job.

Second let me say, the contest continues.

[LadyTevar]

Some of the delegates are assigned by the Popular Vote, Frigid, that's why it's not the full number yet. We'll know the results of the Popular Vote in a few days.

At least, that's what Nitram told me, and he follows that closer than I do.

[Dark Silver]

It was figured Clinton would win Penns, problem is, she didn't win by as much as she hoped.

Unless she soundly trumps Obama in the May Primaries, she can't win.

[Charon]

She can't win. The best she can hope for is that she keeps this going long enough that Obama does something so astoundingly retarded (such as eating live babies on live television) that the people turn against him. She would have to win every single remaining race by 30 points and she'd still be short delegates, and most of the remaining contests are already in Obama's favor.

The real issue is that her constant harping about the "big states" is beginning to make sense to some people. However, most people with a quarter of a brain already know that most of the states she's won are already foregone conclusions. New York, California, New Jersey, Mass, these states are so Democratic the idea of them not voting democrat just because Hillary isn't in the race is astoundingly stupid. Similarly Texas, Oklahoma, Nevada, and New Mexico are pretty well Republican territory from what I understand. Which leaves Clinton with Ohio, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Michigan. Michigan would go for Obama in an election where his name was actually on the ballot. Florida I'm already going to say is going to McCain. So oh goody, Clinton MIGHT get us Pennsylvania and Ohio... If she drops out now Obama can actually spend time working up his cred with the blue-collar workers, and the problem would likely be solved.

[SirNitram]

Oh wow. She did so well that optimistic projections of certified count put Obama's pledged delegate count at a mere... 151.

So basically, all she has to do is net more delegates on May 6th than one over him, tightening the lead to a 'mere' 150', and then she just needs to wine 2/3rds of the remaining. EASY!!!!!

It's over.

[Hadrianvs]

That Texas is in the "big state" argument is particularly amusing, not because McCain is virtually guaranteed to take that one, but because Clinton's victory over there was due to the thinnest of margins.