http://politicalwire.com/archives/2008/ ... ginia.html
That last stat is the one that interests me.A new SurveyUSA poll in Virginia shows Sen. Barack Obama has moved to a six point lead over Sen. John McCain, 51% to 45%. Compared to a similar poll two weeks ago, Obama is up 4, McCain is down 4.
Key findings: "In the Washington DC suburbs, Obama now polls at 59% and leads McCain by 21 points. Obama leads by 10 in Southeast VA and by 4 in Central VA. McCain's regional advantage is confined to the Shenandoah, where he is 14 points atop Obama."
"Among women, Obama led by 6 points before Sarah Palin was named to the GOP ticket, now leads by 16."
This poll has something of a reputation for wild swings, but assume for a second that they're vastly overstating the matter, and that what they read as a 10-point shift among women is actually only half that. That's still a huge backswing, precisely the opposite of what sort of thing I assume Sarah Palin was expected to do for the Republicans when she was selected.
Here's to hoping this represents something real.